Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 13.807933 15.566587 17.520779 19.863658 22.609820 25.743197 29.612504
2025-10-05 12.590578 15.162978 18.270590 22.346589 27.619593 34.305805 43.580547
2025-10-12 11.329864 14.243214 17.962263 23.147437 30.335869 40.176309 55.079101
2025-10-19 9.917637 12.862184 16.776085 22.488092 30.837487 42.975366 62.711393
2025-10-26 9.268087 12.373911 16.662137 23.200229 33.263773 48.797599 75.964344
2025-11-02 8.447851 11.539413 15.938536 22.886024 34.041725 52.145987 85.848836
2025-11-09 7.742438 10.787248 15.235200 22.481623 34.566835 55.096379 95.607561
2025-11-16 7.180770 10.187108 14.686113 22.230443 35.269521 58.409080 106.748070
2025-11-23 6.616351 9.530481 13.981589 21.632451 35.270920 60.422932 115.723641
2025-11-30 6.220609 9.098283 13.585145 21.493756 36.047080 63.984332 128.843468
2025-12-07 5.711752 8.449272 12.783649 20.569250 35.246411 64.304214 134.702820
2025-12-14 5.221411 7.796772 11.926748 19.463386 33.963442 63.435062 137.516765
2025-12-21 4.861421 7.344741 11.391220 18.924066 33.796712 65.063672 147.531089
2025-12-28 5.019585 7.754274 12.348344 21.235973 39.695280 81.204724 202.024735
2026-01-04 4.905090 7.694087 12.479223 21.989119 42.465139 90.815384 242.333409
2026-01-11 4.597208 7.279909 11.943586 21.370348 42.137239 92.743773 259.247612
2026-01-18 4.496329 7.218708 12.042717 22.038522 44.817931 103.017904 309.381684
2026-01-25 4.274885 6.928922 11.694847 21.743757 45.201098 107.208257 339.534280
2026-02-01 4.060473 6.638607 11.324709 21.364285 45.326118 110.715685 368.945546
2026-02-08 3.879961 6.399140 11.034634 21.128535 45.775646 115.296372 405.573792
2026-02-15 3.674661 6.102698 10.614329 20.567113 45.320362 117.046712 430.710595
2026-02-22 3.532459 5.915552 10.396030 20.436866 45.974809 122.472147 477.006599
2026-03-01 3.319409 5.584940 9.872810 19.568339 44.546000 120.812486 486.539574